Rosana Maher

Written by Rosana Maher

Modified & Updated: 07 Mar 2025

50-facts-about-ann-selzer
Source: Edition.cnn.com

Who is Ann Selzer? Ann Selzer is a renowned American political pollster known for her exceptional accuracy and innovative techniques in public opinion research. Born in 1956 in Rochester, Minnesota, and raised in Topeka, Kansas, she developed an early interest in data and numbers. Selzer earned her undergraduate degree from the University of Kansas and later a Ph.D. in Communication Theory from the University of Iowa. She founded Selzer & Company in 1996, a firm that has become a leading provider of public opinion research. Her meticulous approach and minimal weighting methodology have earned her an A+ rating from FiveThirtyEight.com, making her one of the most trusted figures in political polling.

Key Takeaways:

  • Ann Selzer, a renowned pollster, used innovative polling methods and minimal weighting to achieve exceptional accuracy, earning her a stellar reputation in public opinion research.
  • Despite occasional misfires, Ann Selzer's meticulous approach and commitment to truth and accuracy have left an indelible mark on the field of political polling, inspiring future generations of researchers.
Table of Contents

Early Life and Education

Ann Selzer's journey to becoming a renowned pollster began with a strong foundation in her early years and education.

  1. 01Birth and Early Life: Ann Selzer was born in 1956 in Rochester, Minnesota, but she grew up in Topeka, Kansas, as the middle child in a family of five.
  2. 02Family Background: Her father was a Mayo Clinic-trained surgeon, and her mother had a master’s degree in creative writing and was a reporter at a daily newspaper in Kansas City.
  3. 03Education: Selzer attended the University of Kansas for her undergraduate degree, initially studying pre-med but later switching to Speech and Dramatics Arts, which she graduated with in 1978.
  4. 04Ph.D. in Communication Theory: After completing her undergraduate degree, Selzer pursued a Ph.D. in Communication Theory and Research from the University of Iowa, which she earned in 1984.
  5. 05Early Interest in Data: Ann Selzer’s interest in data and numbers began at a young age. She recalls conducting her first poll at the age of five among neighborhood moms to determine if a nickname was unflattering.

Career Beginnings and Professional Growth

Ann Selzer's career took off with significant roles and experiences that shaped her path in public opinion research.

  1. 06Academic Fellowship: After completing her Ph.D., Selzer participated in an academic fellowship in England and later worked for a year as a congressional fellow in Washington, D.C., under Representative Barbara Mikulski of Maryland.
  2. 07Career at The Des Moines Register: Selzer joined The Des Moines Register in the late 1980s and quickly became the director of the Iowa Poll, a position she held for many years.
  3. 08Founding of Selzer & Company: In 1996, Ann Selzer founded her own polling firm, Selzer & Company, which has since become a leading provider of public opinion research.

Polling Methodology and Innovations

Selzer's unique approach to polling has set her apart in the field, known for its accuracy and minimal weighting.

  1. 09Polling Methodology: Selzer’s polls utilize random sampling through random digit dialing in a dual-frame design with both landlines and cell phones. The sampling frame typically consists of lists of registered voters, with likely voters determined through self-reported responses on intention to vote or participate in caucuses.
  2. 10Minimal Weighting: Unlike many other pollsters, Selzer uses minimal weighting in her polling, adjusting only for demographic variables such as age, race, and sex with U.S. census data. She declines to adjust for variables like recalled voting history.

Achievements and Recognition

Ann Selzer's meticulous work has earned her numerous accolades and a stellar reputation in the polling industry.

  1. 11Accuracy and Reputation: Ann Selzer’s meticulous approach to polling has earned her an A+ rating from Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com, a distinction shared with only two other polling firms from an analysis of over 300.
  2. 12Iowa Poll Accuracy: The Iowa Poll under Selzer’s direction has a reputation for being highly accurate, with only one notable blunder in predicting a presidential election outcome—incorrectly putting John Kerry over George W. Bush by 5 percentage points in 2004.
  3. 13Correct Prediction in 2008: In contrast, Selzer’s poll correctly predicted Barack Obama’s comfortable victory in the 2008 Iowa Democratic caucuses.
  4. 14Partnership with Grinnell College: Recently, Selzer has partnered with Grinnell College as part of the Grinnell College National Poll program, further expanding her reach in academic and public opinion research.
  5. 15Media Appearances: Ann Selzer has appeared on various major news programs including CBS Evening News, Fox News Channel, PBS NewsHour, and NPR, among others, showcasing her expertise in political polling.
  6. 16Research Award of Merit: In 2004, Selzer received the Research Award of Merit from the Newspaper Association of America for her outstanding contributions to public opinion research.
  7. 17TEDx Talk: In 2012, Ann Selzer delivered a TEDx talk, highlighting her insights into political polling and its complexities.
  8. 18Non-Partisan Approach: Known for her non-partisan approach, Selzer’s presentations aim to make complex political polling accessible and engaging, often incorporating playful elements to keep audiences interested.
  9. 19Community Involvement: Beyond her professional career, Ann Selzer is involved in various community activities, including singing alto with the Des Moines Choral Society and participating in local competitive events like Scrabble tournaments.
  10. 20Woman Business Owner of the Year: In 2011, Selzer was honored as the Woman Business Owner of the Year by the Des Moines Business Record for her entrepreneurial achievements.

Retirement and Legacy

Ann Selzer's retirement marks the end of an era, but her legacy in political polling remains influential.

  1. 21Retirement Announcement: In November 2024, Ann Selzer announced her retirement from conducting the Iowa Poll, citing that this year was always intended to be her final year due to her transition to other ventures and opportunities.
  2. 22Final Poll Misfire: The final Iowa Poll under Selzer’s direction incorrectly showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 percentage points, which turned out to be a significant misfire as Trump won the election soundly.
  3. 23Legacy and Impact: Despite the final misfire, Ann Selzer’s legacy in political polling remains strong. Her meticulous approach and innovative techniques have set a high standard for public opinion research.
  4. 24Personal Integrity: Selzer emphasized the importance of personal integrity in her work, stating that her commitment to truth and accuracy is paramount both professionally and personally.
  5. 25Planned Retirement: Selzer clarified that her retirement was not driven by the recent misfire but was always part of her planned transition to other projects and opportunities.
  6. 26Evolution of the Iowa Poll: Gannett Media, which owns The Des Moines Register, announced plans to evolve the Iowa Poll, finding new ways to accurately capture public sentiment and the pulse of Iowans on state and national issues.
  7. 27Mission Statement: The mission of The Des Moines Register to provide trusted news and content to readers and the public was acknowledged as not fully met in the recent election cycle, highlighting the need for improvement in polling methodologies.
  8. 28Final Reflections: In her guest column announcing retirement, Selzer reflected on the nature of polling as a science of estimation, acknowledging that science periodically humbles the scientist. She expressed willingness to learn from unexpected findings.

Personal Insights and Advice

Ann Selzer's personal experiences and advice offer valuable lessons for aspiring professionals.

  1. 29Career Advice: Selzer advises early career professionals to find problems and fix them, making their bosses look good. This approach has been instrumental in her career advancement.
  2. 30Personal Interests: Outside of her professional life, Ann Selzer enjoys various hobbies, including singing with the Des Moines Choral Society and participating in Scrabble tournaments.
  3. 31Professional Services: Beyond polling, Selzer offers her expertise to a diverse set of clients including non-profit organizations, for-profit companies, and startups, helping them with audience development and strategic research.
  4. 32Public Speaking Engagements: Ann Selzer is a sought-after speaker, particularly on topics related to the Iowa caucuses, election year polling, and American political dynamics. Her presentations are renowned for being non-partisan, insightful, and at times playful.
  5. 33Media Presence: She has been a guest on major news programs like CBS Evening News, Face the Nation, and Morning Joe, among others, showcasing her expertise in political polling.
  6. 34Awards and Recognition: Ann Selzer has received numerous awards and recognitions for her work in public opinion research, including the Research Award of Merit from the Newspaper Association of America.
  7. 35Professional Network: Her extensive network includes working with various news organizations such as The Des Moines Register, Detroit Free Press, and Indianapolis Star, among others.
  8. 36Collaborations: Ann Selzer has collaborated with Grinnell College on the Grinnell College National Poll program, further expanding her reach in academic and public opinion research.
  9. 37Polling Firm Operations: Selzer & Company operates out of a building constructed by Selzer herself in 2010 at 308 Fifth Street in West Des Moines’ Valley Junction.
  10. 38Outside Interests: Ann Selzer is involved in various clubs and organizations including the Nexus club and the Powwow discussion club, which assemble once a month to present and critique papers.
  11. 39Community Engagement: Her community involvement extends beyond professional activities, reflecting her commitment to engaging with local communities through various initiatives.
  12. 40Leadership Role: As the president of Selzer & Company, Ann Selzer has led the firm to become one of the most respected names in public opinion research, known for its accuracy and innovative methodologies.

Lasting Impact on Public Opinion Research

Ann Selzer's contributions have left an indelible mark on the field of public opinion research.

  1. 41Innovative Techniques: Selzer’s approach to polling involves innovative techniques such as using minimal weighting and focusing on sample selection, which have contributed significantly to her reputation for exceptional accuracy.
  2. 42Accuracy in Predictions: Despite occasional misfires, Ann Selzer’s polls have consistently shown high accuracy in predicting election outcomes, making her one of the most trusted figures in political polling.
  3. 43Impact on Elections: Her work has had a significant impact on elections, providing critical insights that help candidates and policymakers understand public sentiment and make informed decisions.
  4. 44Media Coverage: Ann Selzer has been featured in various media outlets for her expertise, including CBS Evening News, Fox News Channel, PBS NewsHour, and NPR.
  5. 45Public Perception: Her non-partisan approach and commitment to accuracy have earned her a high level of public trust, making her a respected figure in both academic and professional circles.
  6. 46Educational Background: Ann Selzer holds a Bachelor of Arts in Speech and Dramatics Arts from the University of Kansas and a Ph.D. in Communication Theory and Research from the University of Iowa.
  7. 47Professional Experience: Before founding Selzer & Company, she worked as the director of research for Starr & Associates and later moved to a public opinion research firm in Washington, D.C.
  8. 48Founding of Selzer Boddy Inc.: In 1992, Ann Selzer founded Selzer Boddy Inc., which later evolved into Selzer & Company in 1996.
  9. 49Legacy in Public Opinion Research: Ann Selzer’s legacy extends beyond her own firm, influencing the broader field of public opinion research with her innovative methodologies and commitment to accuracy.
  10. 50Enduring Impact: Despite her retirement from conducting the Iowa Poll, Ann Selzer’s impact on political polling will continue to be felt, inspiring future generations of researchers and pollsters with her dedication to truth and accuracy.

Ann Selzer's Lasting Impact

Ann Selzer's career in political polling has left an indelible mark on the field. From her early days conducting neighborhood polls to founding Selzer & Company, her dedication to accuracy and innovative methodologies has set her apart. Known for her non-partisan approach, Selzer's work has consistently provided reliable insights into public opinion, influencing elections and shaping political strategies. Even with her recent retirement and the final Iowa Poll misfire, her legacy remains strong. Selzer's meticulous methods and commitment to truth have inspired future generations of pollsters. Her involvement in community activities and public speaking further highlights her multifaceted contributions. As she transitions to new ventures, Ann Selzer's influence on public opinion research will continue to be felt, ensuring her place as a pioneering figure in the world of political polling.

Frequently Asked Questions

What makes Ann Selzer's polls so reliable?
Well, Ann Selzer's knack for accuracy stems from her meticulous methodology and her team's rigorous data analysis. They use a mix of landline and mobile phone numbers to reach a broad demographic, ensuring their sample accurately reflects the population. Plus, her firm, Selzer & Co., has a solid track record of predicting election outcomes, which bolsters her reputation for reliability.
How did Ann Selzer start in the polling industry?
Ann Selzer's journey into polling began with a deep-rooted passion for understanding public opinion. After earning a Ph.D. in communication theory and research, she worked in various research roles before launching Selzer & Co. in 1989. Her dedication and innovative approach to polling quickly set her apart in the field.
What's one of Ann Selzer's most notable predictions?
One standout moment in Ann Selzer's career was her accurate prediction of the 2008 Iowa Democratic caucuses. While many polls suggested a tight race, Selzer's final pre-caucus poll correctly showed Barack Obama with a significant lead over his competitors, a forecast that proved spot-on and catapulted her to national prominence.
Why do media outlets and political analysts highly regard Selzer's polls?
Media outlets and political analysts hold Selzer's polls in high esteem mainly because of their consistent accuracy and the transparency of her methodology. Her firm's independence and her refusal to skew data for any partisan advantage also earn her widespread respect across the political spectrum.
Can Ann Selzer's polling methods be applied to other fields?
Absolutely! While Ann Selzer is best known for her political polling, her methods are applicable across various sectors, including market research, public health, and social science. Her approach to sampling, data collection, and analysis can provide valuable insights beyond the political arena.
What's a fun fact about Ann Selzer not related to polling?
Aside from her polling prowess, Ann Selzer is an avid rower. She finds rowing to be a perfect way to unwind and stay fit. This hobby offers her a break from the numbers and a chance to enjoy the great outdoors, showcasing a different side to her personality.
How can someone get involved in polling like Ann Selzer?
For those interested in following in Ann Selzer's footsteps, a strong foundation in statistics, political science, or sociology is beneficial. Gaining experience through internships or working with research firms can provide practical skills. Moreover, staying curious about human behavior and being committed to unbiased data analysis are key traits for success in this field.

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